Weekly Analysis

The Pakistani establishment has crossed the opposition's red line as part of its latest power play, effectively challenging the population to resist. And many do just that because they fear losing their country.

The U.S. is currently experiencing a major setback after Syria returned to the Arab League. In view of its own loss of importance, the West should now look with great concern at the reordering of geopolitical conditions in the Middle East.

The French parliament has proposed that the private military company Wagner be classified as a terrorist organization. At the same time, it acknowledged that this step is more symbolic than practical. Nevertheless, France has quite material reasons to take action against Russian volunteers.

It is premature to conclude that Poland has taken Germany's role in leading EU foreign policy. While Poland has gained unprecedented importance, Germany still retains control over the EU's foreign policy.

South America's second-largest economy could become an important part of the multipolar world – and at the same time solve its own crisis. However, there are a number of obstacles to overcome along the way, not least the upcoming elections that could bring US-loyal forces to power.

Oil prices are falling again. OPEC+ is taking countermeasures and trying to stop this trend by reducing production quotas. It is not yet clear whether the measures will be successful in the long term. However, it is clear that the US seems to be losing its control over the global oil sector.

The absence of the long-awaited Ukrainian offensive is not only related to bad weather or insufficient arms deliveries. Above all, actions by the Russian armed forces reduce the chances of success of the offensive and could prevent it altogether.

On the night of May 3, Ukraine attacked the Kremlin with two drones. The case was classified as a terrorist attack and assassination attempt on Russia's president. What are the technical features of the attack, what was its real goal and how can Russia respond to the attack?

Israel's response to the rapprochement between Iran and the Gulf states was to expand its presence north of Iran, with Azerbaijan having a strategic security dimension, while Turkmenistan is probably mainly of psychological importance.

India is now considered a very independent country that takes a pragmatic view of the conflict between the West and Russia and knows how to use it for its own purposes. Exports of petroleum products – mainly made from cheap Russian oil – have allowed Indian companies to generate considerable revenues.