How the Pentagon is organizing Ukraine's spring offensive

No US official has yet spoken as openly as US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said last week: The US is preparing Ukraine for its widely announced spring offensive. What is it all about and how seriously does Russia have to take all this?

"Ukraine has no more time to lose," US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin warned the indigenous force immediately after the meeting of the Contact Group for the Defense of Ukraine. The "independent" is driven into the offensive with kicks. A date has already been set: end of April or beginning of May.

The Pentagon has also expressed its dissatisfaction through the media that the Kiev regime continues to pile up piles of corpses in Artyomovsk, even though Austin personally believes that this city is not of strategic importance and that it is time to let piles of corpses grow out of the landscape elsewhere on the map.

The US military leadership now officially admits that the Ukrainian army has suffered more than 100,000 deaths in a year of conflict and that "the best and most experienced" military personnel have been eliminated. The monstrous losses have led to nothing, except the loss of about one-fifth of the entire territory of the former Ukraine. But it is us who are pained to read the statistics of the dead, no one in Washington has emotions. Ukrainian soldiers must continue to fight, and this is the Pentagon's main message.

The background is that the urgent need for concrete results, which Kiev must show, has matured in the American establishment. Money has flowed, weapons have been delivered, Ukrainian soldiers have been trained: now is payday. The lives of the natives are accepted as a means of payment.

According to a Pentagon source who leaked this information to the influential Politico newspaper, all Western arms shipments to Ukraine over the past four or five months have been carried out precisely in anticipation of a Ukrainian spring offensive. Ukraine has received hundreds of tanks and armored vehicles, as well as vehicles for bridge construction. Thousands of Ukrainian soldiers have been trained on NATO training grounds. In addition, a considerable supply of 155-millimeter shells, which were lacking in winter, was accumulated. The proxy army has not yet received aircraft, but it is equipping its MiGs with American medium-range missiles. And, of course, the American patron provides his vassal with intelligence and intelligence.

In which directions will the Ukrainian armed forces attack? The Pentagon keeps assuring us that it is up to Kiev to develop a strategy. But, as the saying goes, whoever pays for the girl's food dances with the girl. The US military and special services openly discuss in the press where the Ukrainian army should be thrown.

Crimea and the cities of Melitopol and Mariupol are the top offensive targets. Retired General Ben Hodges, who cannot forget how the peninsula sailed elegantly to Russia and how NATO intelligence did not notice the incident – this of all things when he was commander of the allied land forces – is very hot on Crimea.

His idea is that the Ukrainian army will cross the Dnieper, take the entire Kherson region, and from there bombard Crimea with HIMARS missiles, threatening the Black Sea Fleet and the airfield in Saki. Many consider this plan unrealistic: it is difficult to imagine that the Ukrainians will be able to successfully cross the Dnieper under the fire of our artillery. However, information about Crimea and its air defense is diligently collected. The American Reaper drone, which was recently sunk in the Black Sea, was also on its way with this mission.

The second direction is the coast of the Sea of Azov. Either Berdyansk via Melitopol or Mariupol via Volnovakha. Moreover, an attack on Mariupol would also be a move in the information war. From the coast of the Sea of Azov, HIMARS are to shell the Crimean Bridge in order to completely isolate the peninsula.

Both options are about cutting off the supply routes of our troops and blocking the "corridor to Crimea". Some analysts believe that the Ukrainian army has enough forces to attack in two directions simultaneously – both in the south and on the Sea of Azov.

It is possible that there are other alleged directions of attack, but they have not yet been made known in the media. Denis Pushilin, the acting DPR chief, said that the Ukrainians had gathered troops in Chasov Yar near Artyomovsk. It looks as if the Ukrainian military could organize its counterattack there as well. That would also be good for their propaganda – as if they had defended Bachmut.

Militarily, these plans look dangerously crazy. The sad thing, however, is that it will also be a "result" for Zelensky and his masters if the counterattack fails. Kiev's Pennywise (horror clown from Stephen King's "It") will brag about the number of dead, speculate with her blood and demand more money and weapons. Washington will have an excuse to pressure the European vassals and say, "Look how bravely the Ukrainians are dying, and what about you?" In general, the Pentagon's planned spring offensive in Ukraine should not be taken lightly.

True, we have an undeniable advantage over the Ukrainian army in terms of equipment, artillery and aviation. Our economies are simply not comparable in size and condition. However, the Kiev regime has an advantage: it throws its citizens to their deaths with a dose of sadism without remorse. Those who mirror an incomprehensible masochism die for the interests of Mark Milley, Lloyd Austin and other people who are extremely distant from them. And this is the weapon that the Zelensky regime will use to the end.

In the event that the proxies fail, the US regime has already laid down a soft mat on which it intends to fall gently. In a recent report by the RAND Corporation, military analysts remind us that in the Ukraine conflict, the interests of the United States must come first for the US leadership. But a long war, it turns out, is not in America's interest – it is too expensive, too dangerous, and there is no way to proceed to taming China. Therefore, Washington urgently needs to convince Kiev to accept territorial losses and make a bad peace, which is known to be better than a good fight.

A transparent message is being sent to Ukrainians from across the ocean: you can kill yourselves for our interests, but as soon as our interests change, we will abandon you and not even remember you. Promise is not synonymous with getting married. It is amazing how the "Little Russians" constantly dream of outsmarting everyone, and then fall into the most primitive, as it seems, traps. The counterattack trap could become their last.

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